BrainDock/STRATEGY_V2_2026-07-06.md

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Trading Bot Strategy V2 — 2026-07-06

Signal Generation

  • Threshold: 7.5% (instead of 5%)
  • Frequency: Every 5 seconds
  • Confidence Range: 30-95% (modeled)

Position Sizing

  • Standard: 25% of free USDT
  • High Confidence (>85%): 35% of free USDT
  • NOTIONAL Min: $5.00 (Binance requirement)

Exit Rules

  • Take Profit: +2.8% (was +3%)
  • Stop Loss: -1.8% (was -2.5%)
  • Trailing Stop: Active at +1.5% profit, distance 0.6%

Risk Management

  • Max Concurrent Positions: 3 (was 5)
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 3 → triggers 30min cooldown
  • Daily Loss Limit: -5% (unchanged)
  • Max Trades/Day: 15
  • Min Win Probability Check: 75%
  • Volatility Filter: Rejects trades if 1h volatility > 5%

Expected Behavior

  • Fewer but more selective trades (7.5% signal threshold)
  • Tighter SL/TP (1.8% / 2.8%)
  • Better capital efficiency (25% standard)
  • Cooldown protection after 3 losses
  • Max 15 trades/day prevents over-trading

Deployed: 2026-07-06 21:48 UTC Git: a815dfe (reference point)


UPDATED (2026-07-06 21:54)

Liquidity Optimization

  • Max Concurrent Positions: Reduced to 1 (was 3)
  • Investment %: 50% (single position auto-closes before next entry)
  • Rationale: With 1 position max, 50% × remaining USDT ensures next cycle has ~$9+ USDT
  • Trade Cadence: Wait for SL/TP hit before next entry (no queue)

Result:

  • Start: $17.35 USDT → Trade 1: 50% = $8.68 → Close → $17 back + gains
  • Maintains minimum $5 NOTIONAL per trade
  • Max 15 trades/day still enforced
  • Single position reduces capital lock